2025 年,马来西亚全年通胀率是 1.4%,低于 2024 年的 1.8%,是多年来的低点之一(统计局 DOSM)。

数字说:物价几乎没怎么涨。可你的日常感受却是:钱越来越不经花。到底谁错了?

答案可能会让你意外:两边都没错。而理解「为什么数据和感受会对不上」,本身就是一堂最实用的公民课。

先看两个官方数字

  • 全年通胀 1.4%(2025):这是**消费者物价指数(CPI)**的整体涨幅。
  • 家庭收入中位/平均:2024 年全国家庭平均月收入约 RM9,155,比 2022 年增长 3.8%(DOSM)。

单看这两个数字,画面很正面:物价稳、收入涨。可是为什么那么多人「无感」,甚至觉得更紧?

关键:通胀量的,不是「你的」篮子

CPI 衡量的是一个全国平均的「一篮子」商品与服务的价格变化。但没有人真的活在「平均」里。

你的篮子,可能被房租、特定食材、孩子的费用、交通成本主导——而这些项目的涨幅,未必等于那个 1.4% 的平均值。当你天天要买的东西涨得比平均快,你的「体感通胀」就会远高于官方数字。

数据没有骗你,它只是没在量你的篮子。

In 2025, Malaysia's full-year inflation was 1.4%, down from 1.8% in 2024 — one of the lowest readings in years (DOSM).

The number says prices barely rose. Yet your daily experience is that money doesn't stretch as far. So who's wrong?

The answer may surprise you: neither. And understanding "why the data and the feeling don't match" is itself one of the most useful civics lessons there is.

Start with two official numbers

  • Full-year inflation 1.4% (2025): the overall rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
  • Household income, median/average: in 2024 the national average household income was about RM9,155/month, up 3.8% from 2022 (DOSM).

On these two numbers alone the picture looks positive: stable prices, rising incomes. So why do so many feel nothing — or feel squeezed?

The key: inflation measures a basket, not "yours"

CPI measures the price change of a national-average "basket" of goods and services. But no one actually lives at "the average."

Your basket may be dominated by rent, particular foods, your kids' costs, transport — and those items' increases need not equal that 1.4% average. When the things you buy daily rise faster than average, your "felt inflation" runs well above the official figure.

The data isn't lying to you. It just isn't measuring your basket.